Sterling Market Commentary for Tuesday March 20th, 2012
A Few Thoughts on Tuesday’s Markets: In looking at the charts from yesterday’s market, I noticed that the vast majority of the sector indices and heavy volume stocks that I follow all looked very positive on their charts. However, I am always cautious the 1st couple of days following an options expiration week. Experience has taught me that it generally takes a day or so, for the underlying trend to resume its movement. As a result, I expect the activity of Tuesday and Wednesday to set the general direction of the market for the next few weeks. Also, in general we have been in a very tight trading range for the last several months. We all know that this is rather unusual given the trading history of the markets over the last couple of years. My underlying concern is that the longer we track sideways, the greater the move to either the up or downside will be when we finally break from this tight trading range; and I do not want to be caught to heavily weighted to the wrong side.