Tag Archive for market rally

Sterling Market Commentary for Friday November 23rd, 2012

Sterling Investment Services look at the trading activity from Wednesday’s pre-Thanksgiving market and our thoughts about today’s market. We also take a look at the rally over the last couple of trading sessions, and provide our thoughts on whether it is a legitimate market rally, a retracement of the recent downward movement, or just a bump in the road on the move lower. Our chart is worth checking out.

Sterling Weekly for the Week of March 5th, 2012 – A Look at Bond Prices and Higher Rates

Regular readers of the Sterling Weekly will recall that I have been voicing my concerns about the Fed’s manipulation of interest rates to abnormally low levels for quite some time. I have expressed my concerns that this is inflationary in nature, and that as a result we could see interest rates rise to levels not seen since the mid to late 1990’s when the 30-Year Bond yielded approximately 7.5%. (Sterling Weekly for September 26th, 2011) I thought it would be a good idea to take a look how an increase in interest rates would affect the price of current government bonds.

As of last Friday March 2nd, the US Government 5-Year Bonds was yielding approximately 0.85%, the 10-Year Bond was yielding approximately 1.99%, and 30-Year Bond was yielding approximately 3.14%. I have said for a very long time that I believe these bond yields are artificially low due to their manipulation by the Federal Reserve. I think that this is causing a bubble in the bond market that could have very disastrous consequence when it finally bursts, as all bubble ultimately do.

I think that it is very realistic to expect that we will see the price of US Government bonds return to their pre-2008 levels at some point in the reasonable future, by this I mean interest rate levels seen…..