In today’s edition of the Sterling Market Commentary we take a look at the Dow Jones Industrial Average and its prospects for completing a cup pattern with a measured move higher, as well as what are new upside target would be and how long we estimate that it would take to get to those levels.
Tag Archive for budget deficit
Sterling Weekly for the Week of March 5th, 2012 – A Look at Bond Prices and Higher Rates
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Regular readers of the Sterling Weekly will recall that I have been voicing my concerns about the Fed’s manipulation of interest rates to abnormally low levels for quite some time. I have expressed my concerns that this is inflationary in nature, and that as a result we could see interest rates rise to levels not seen since the mid to late 1990’s when the 30-Year Bond yielded approximately 7.5%. (Sterling Weekly for September 26th, 2011) I thought it would be a good idea to take a look how an increase in interest rates would affect the price of current government bonds.
As of last Friday March 2nd, the US Government 5-Year Bonds was yielding approximately 0.85%, the 10-Year Bond was yielding approximately 1.99%, and 30-Year Bond was yielding approximately 3.14%. I have said for a very long time that I believe these bond yields are artificially low due to their manipulation by the Federal Reserve. I think that this is causing a bubble in the bond market that could have very disastrous consequence when it finally bursts, as all bubble ultimately do.
I think that it is very realistic to expect that we will see the price of US Government bonds return to their pre-2008 levels at some point in the reasonable future, by this I mean interest rate levels seen…..
Market Commentary – August 4th, 2011
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A Few Thoughts After the Close: The overall market sold off extremely sharply today. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was lower by 512 points closing at 11,383.58 and in the process went negative on the year. The Dow is now…
Market Commentary – July 21st, 2011
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The overall market finished Wednesday slightly lower. Oil was higher by $0.54 to $98.40 per barrel, and Gold was lower by $4.20 to $1,596.90 per ounce. A Few Thoughts Before the Open: In looking at the charts of the heavy…
Market Commentary – July 19th, 2011
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The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed lower yesterday at 12,385.16 Oil was lower by $1.35 to $96.25 per barrel, and Gold was higher by $12.30 to $1,602.40 per ounce. A Thought Before the Open: In looking at the charts from…
Market Commentary – July 18th, 2011
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A Few Thoughts Before the Open: The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed Friday at 12,479.73 Despite Friday’s move higher, the chart continues to show weakness. I think it is possible we could see it test its 40 day moving average, …
Market Commentary – July 12th, 2011
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A Couple of Thoughts After the Close: Following a roller coaster of a day, the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished the day just over 58 points lower to close at 12,446.88 It looks to me like the Dow is going…