As
part of an ongoing series of articles I have been writing about
11 "Rules for Trading" that I have developed. In last
week's edition of the Sterling Weekly I covered my Fifth
Rule of Trading, "If a stock or option does
not move as you expect within a few days then look to exit the
position." This week I am going to discuss my Sixth
Rule of Trading, "Do not become emotionally
attached to an investment!"
When an investor or trader will become emotionally
attached to an investment or trade all the emotions that you
strive to remove from the decision making process become a factor
and they cause you to stop paying attention to any of the rules,
methods, or anything else that has allowed you to be a profitable
trader or investor. They are all bad, and do not help your efforts
to maintain profitability. Fear of taking a loss will cause
you to hold onto a stock that has moved against you and increase
your losses. Greed will cause you to hold a stock you should
be looking to take profits in because you want it to go higher.
Insecurity will cause you to sell a stock before you should.
I have seen investors and traders become emotionally attached
to the idea that a certain sector of the market or a commodity
was going to skyrocket in value and as a result they invested
in stocks with very bearish chart patterns. Just think of all
the people who bought gold stocks during the decade long bear
market in gold. All that capital became nonproductive and wasted
away. Or the large number of people who where buying Yahoo on
the dips when it was coming down from its highs of $250/share.
In order to be a successful trader or investor
you must be able to remove your emotions from the decision making
process! It doesn't mean you should not trust your instincts,
but know the difference between instinct and emotions.
I find it more than somewhat ironic that the
head of the California retirement pension plan (CALPERS) is
calling for NYSE Chairman Dick Grasso to resign from the NYSE
when they do not have any money invested in the NYSE nor do
they represent any of the represent any of the employees of
the NYSE. Yet, they are not calling for the resignation of California
Governor Gray Davis who has bankrupted the State of California
and continues to give away state's money through executive decisions
to anyone he thinks will accept a handout and vote to keep him
in office during the upcoming recall election, and thus directly
effecting the lives of people who pensions they are managing.
On second thought, it is very hypocritical on their part and
is an example of what happens when politics overly effect the
management of an important office such as the giant CALPERS
retirement fund.
Economic
Calendar for the week of September 15th, 2003. |
DATE |
Est. Time |
Release |
For |
Actual |
Briefing.com |
Consensus |
Prior |
Revised From |
Sep. 15 |
8:30am |
Business
Invent. |
Jul |
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.1% |
|
Sep 15 |
8:30am |
Current Account |
Q2 |
|
($136.0B) |
($138.0B) |
($136.1B) |
|
Sep 15 |
8:30am |
NY. Empire State |
Sep |
|
15.0 |
12.0 |
10.0 |
|
Sep 15 |
9:15am |
Industrial
Prod. |
Aug |
|
0.4% |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
Sep 15 |
9:15am |
Capacity
Utilization |
Aug. |
|
74.8% |
74.7% |
74.5% |
|
Sep 16 |
8:30am |
CPI |
Aug |
|
0.2% |
0.3% |
0.2% |
|
Sep 16 |
8:30am |
Core CPI |
Aug |
|
0.1% |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
Sep 16 |
2:15pm |
FOMC Meeting |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sep 17 |
8:30am |
Housing
Starts |
Aug |
|
1.825Million |
1.844M |
1.872M |
|
Sep 17 |
8:30am |
Building
Permits |
Aug |
|
1.80M |
1.80M |
1.80M |
|
Sep 17 |
2:00pm |
Treasury
Budget |
Aug |
|
($78.0B) |
($778.5) |
($54.7B) |
|
Sep 18 |
8:30am |
Initial
Claims |
9/13 |
|
405k |
n/a |
422k |
|
Sep 18 |
8:30am |
Leading
Indicators |
Aug |
|
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
Sep 18 |
12:00pm |
Phil. Fed. |
Sep |
|
20.0 |
15.1 |
22.1 |
|
Sep 18 |
2:00pm |
FOMC Minutes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prime Update:
Sterling Investment Services is an investment
research and money management firm publishing the Prime Stock
Newsletter. The Prime Stock Newsletter is a daily comprehensive
newsletter that is useful for investors and traders alike. Whether
you are looking for short term trading opportunities ranging
from day trading to a couple of weeks or if you looking to acquire
a long term portfolio at smart entry points. Subscriptions a
$30/month. a 3
DAY TRAIL SUBSCRIPTION IS ONLY $4.95 (more).
Highlights from
Recent editions of the Prime Stock Newsletter |
Recommendation |
Date |
Entry Point |
Recent Close or Exit Price |
Profit* |
Note |
Sandisk Corp. 'SNDK' |
Sep
4, 03 |
$61.21/share |
$65.10 exit on Sep 5th |
$3.89 |
|
Neflix, Inc. 'NFLX' |
Aug
21st |
$28.25 |
$36.53 exit on Sep 9th. |
$8.28 |
|
Yahoo, Inc. 'YHOO' |
Sep
3, 03 |
$34.00 |
$36.80 exit on Sep. 9th |
$2.15 |
|
* The per share PROFIT is a theoretical
calculation based upon the opening price the day the recommendation
is published and the intra day high (or low for short sales)
on the exit day. |
The Dow Jones Industrial
Average:
Today's Opinion: Closed @ 9,567.34
Current Expectations: I am still
expecting the Dow to move higher and test 9,660.60 (our target
level first published in the Sterling
Weekly for August 18th.) over the intermediate term.
The S&P 500:
Today's Opinion: Closed @ 1,029.32
Current Expections: I am still expecting the S&P
500 to test 1,057.86 over the intermediate term.
The NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
Current Opinion: Closed @ 1,382.82
Current Expectations: I am still expecting the NASDAQ
100 (NDX) to move higher and test 1,555.11 and then 1,846.96
over the intermediate term.
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