The
overall market moved sharply higher after the conclusion of
the Memorial Day weekend. I take this to mean that everyone
enjoyed their holiday weekend very thoroughly and returned to
work in a good mood. Of course the news that President Bush's
tax plan would be passed by Congress and signed into law did
not hurt things. I continue to maintain that the biggest influence
on the market is politics. The market obviously responded very
positive to what it views as a tax reduction package from Washington
that it believes will stimulate the economy. It also demonstrates
to me that the current President Bush understands economics
and politics far better than his father did, and appears to
have learned very smartly from his father's mistakes.
In terms of economic news it appears to be
a rather quite week ahead. The important news will be the release
of Initial Jobless claims on June 5th, and the biggest news
of the week will be the release of unemployment numbers on Friday
June 6th prior to the open of the market.
On Thursday June 5th, National Semiconductor
'NSM' is scheduled to release earnings. Their earnings could
have some impact on the view of semiconductor companies and
possibly Intel Corp. 'INTC'. Otherwise the overall calendar
for the upcoming week looks quite.
Prime Update:
Sterling Investment Services is an investment
research and money management firm publishing the Prime Stock
Newsletter. The Prime Stock Newsletter is a daily comprehensive
newsletter that is useful for investors and traders alike. Whether
you are looking for short term trading opportunities ranging
from day trading to a couple of weeks or if you looking to acquire
a long term portfolio at smart entry points. Subscriptions a
$30/month. a 3 DAY TRAIL SUBSCRIPTION IS
ONLY $4.95 (more).
While one of my consulting projects had me
tied up at the end of the week and I did not publish a Prime
Stock letter for Thursday or Friday, last week was good to a
couple of our recommendations. Intuit, Inc. 'INTU' recommended
on may 28th, finished the week $0.95/share higher from its open
price on the day it was recommenced. Also Lehman Bros. Holdings
recommenced on Thursday May 22nd, reached our initial price
target Friday May 30th.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed Friday
at 8,850.26 up 139.08 points on the day. I have been writing
about converging trendlines on the Dow Jones Industrial Average
'INDU' that I believed would force either a move to the downside
or upside since late April. While I did not think it would take
as long as it did for us to see a clear breakout from these
converging trendlines, they finally broke through them on April
27th with a move of 179.97 points to the upside on heavier than
normal trading volume, closing at 8,781.35 on for the day.
| |
The follow through on this move during the
remainder of the week leads us to believe this a clear break
to the upside with the Dow Jones Industrial Average test the
9,053.64 level and possibly a test of the 9,500+ level in
the near future.
Today's Opinion: Closed @ 8,850.26
Current Expectations: Called
higher on May 27th with the close of 8,781.35 The Dow Jones
Industrial Average 'INDU' should move higher and test 8,931.68
and then 9,053.64 on a closing basis.
The S&P 500:
The S&P 500 (SPX) closed Friday @ 963.59
up 13.95 points. The reversal to the downside that I thought
was going to occur after the close of trading on the 19th of
May did not materialize as I had expected. While there was a
short period of downward movement or intermediate profit taking.
The passage of President Bush's tax cut plan was clearly well
received by the market. The plan is widely expected to be successful
in stimulating the economy and the stock market. We could easily
see the S&P 500 move towards its early 2000 levels of 1,100
to 1,150. The Bottom Line: The overall market
should move higher.
Today's Opinion: Closed @ 963.59
Current Expections: Called higher with a close of 951.48
on May 27th. The S&P 500 should move higher and test 965.80
and then
The NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
The NASDAQ 100 Index closed Friday @ 1,197.89
up 16.07 points. The NASDAQ 100 (NDX) resumed its move higher
after the Memorial Day weekend concluded. The chart of the NDX
continues to look very solid. Many of the companies that comprise
the NDX have seen a growth in their earnings that have allowed
their P/E ratios to return to realistic level or they are in
the process of solving the problems that have plagued them over
the course of the last couple of years. I am expecting the NDX
to continue to move higher and test 1,325.80 on a closing basis.
Current Opinion: Closed @ 1,197.89
Current Expectations: Called higher with the close
on May 27th @ 1,172.58. The NDX should move higher and test
1,325.80 on a closing basis.
|