The overall market moved sharply lower yesterday. The market is
currently in a very volatile period that is being fueled by
the constant stream of news coming from Iraqi war. Until this
period of volatility subsides or the current phase of the war
ends, entering new trades curtails a higher than normal amount
of risk.
I believe that new trades should be entered at
the start of a trend. If you miss the opportunity to enter a
trade at the start of a trend, then the wise thing to do is
to sit the current movement out and wait for a new one to occur.
Additionally once a trade is entered and a position is created,
then it is very wise to place a stop to protect your position
from moving against you, and once your position moves towards
increasing profitability move your "stop" up to protect
your profits. I will discuss this more in upcoming editions
of the Sterling Weekly. In the meantime I am going to give the
market the needed time to clarify the current trend or the start
of a new one.
The Dow
Jones Industrial Average:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed Monday at 8,214.68
down 307.29 points.
Today's Opinion: Closed @ 8,214.68 Current
Expectations: Our indicators are pointing lower on the Dow
Jones Industrial Average. If the Dow closes lower today, then
a sell signal will be generated indicating the start of a new
downward trend.
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The S&P 500 closed Monday at 864.23 down 31.67points.
Today's Opinion: Closed @ 864.23 Current
Expections: Our indicators are both pointing lower. If the
S&P 500 (SPX) closes down again today then a Sell Signal
will be generated on the S&P 500 index indicating the start
of a new downward trend.
The
NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
Comments (3-25- 03): The NASDAQ 100 Index
closed Monday @ 1,0047.10 down 46.02 points.
Current Opinion: Closed @ 1,047.10 Current
Expectations: Both of our indicators are pointing lower
on the Nasdaq 100 Index. The recent market rally had pushed
the NDX into an over extended position, so a pullback is not
unexpected. While the trend of the index is still higher, if
the NDX closes today lower, then there is a strong chance a
sell signal will be generated indicating a move lower.
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