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Sterling Weekly for August 31st, 2009

The overall market as measured by the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 38.24 points or approximately 0.4% to finish last week at 9,544.20 We are coming up on the Labor Day Weekend, and as a result I expect trading volume to continue to be light this week. As usual, I expect that trading volume and the market will return to more normal activity within a few days following the return from the holiday weekend. In looking at the Dow Jones Industrial Average, it appears that we have a pair of trendlines forming that may start to come into. While it may be a little early to tell how relevant these trendlines really are, I've included a daily chart of the Dow below for your review. Regular readers of the Sterling Weekly will remember that the downward trendlines from earlier this year that had a big influence on the market.

Dow Jones Industrial Average August 28th, 2009

Time will tell if these trendlines are relevant. However, if they are, then I would not be surprised to the market continues to move higher through the end of this week, and then turn lower following the Labor Day Holiday Also, please note that this week's economic calendar has some rather weighty news towards the end of the week with jobless claims on Thursday and the unemployment rate on Friday. Either one of those announcements could move the market sharply, or not at all.


Sterling Calendars for the Week of August 31st, 2009
Economic Calendar
Date Est. Time Release

For

Consensus Prior
08/31 9:45am Chicago PMI Aug. 47.2 43.4
09/01 10:0am Construction Spending July (0.2%) (0.3%)
09/01 10:00am ISM Index Aug. 50.2 48.9
09/01 2:00pm Auto Sales Aug. N/A 4.2M
09/01 2:00pm Truck Sales Aug. N/A 4.2M
09/02 8:15am ADP Employment Change   (246k) (371k)
09/02 8:30am Productivity-Revised Q2 6.1% 6.4%
09/02 10:00am Factory Orders July 1.5% 0.4%
09/02 10:30am Crude Inventories     +128k
09/02 2:00pm FOMC Minutes 08/12    
09/03 8:30am Initial Claims 08/29 570K 570K
09/03 10:00am ISM Services Aug. 48.0 46.4
09/04 8:30am Average Workweek Aug. 33.1 33.1
09/04 8:30am Hourly Earnings Aug. 0.1% 0.2%
09/04 8:30am NonFarm Payrolls Aug. (225k) (247k)
09/04 8:30am Unemployment Rate Aug. 9.5% 9.4%


Prime Update:

The Prime Stock Newsletter is our daily newsletter that contains commentary on the overall market, and our single best trading idea for the day! (Both Long & Short Sale Recommendations) We select this stock through a combination of technical (charting) and fundamental (financial) analysis. The Prime Stock Newsletter provides select expanded quotation information, corporate description, select recent company news, our technical analysis of the shares and our expectations, and our options recommendation for the company.

Our most recent Performance Report is now available available (here). 15 of our last 20 recommendation resulted in profitable trades for an average profit of $0.32/share. This is an 75% success rate.

Highlights from Recent (20) Editions of the Prime Stock Newsletter
Recommendation Date Entry Point Recent Close or Exit Price Profit* Note
Massey Energy 'MEE' Aug 3 $27.28 28.50 $1.22 Sold on August 3rd
Hess Corp. 'HES' Short Aug 17 $49.69 $48.48 $1.21 Covered on the Aug. 17th
US Steel 'X' Aug 5 $44.00 $45.81 $1.81 Sold August 6th
* Our August 12th, short sale recommendation of Borg Warner 'BWA' reached our stated price target of $30.10/share on August 19th.
*** Our July 31st recommendation of Dollar Tree Stores 'DLTR' set a new ALL-TIME CLOSING HIGH on August 28th.
*** Our July 29th recommendation of Discovery Communications 'DISCA' set a new yearly high on August 10th.
**** Our July 28th recommendation of Metavante Tech. 'MV' surpassed our stated price target of $29.30/share on July 29th.
**** Our July 23rd recommendation of Ross Stores 'ROST' surpassed our stated price target of $44.53/share on July 30th, and it set a new yearly closing high on August 21st.
* The per share PROFIT is a theoretical calculation based upon the opening price the day the recommendation is published and the intra day high (or low for short sales) on the exit day. The exit day is determined based upon the application of our "Rules for Trading", the implementation of "stops" within our stated policy, and may not reflect the complete or full movement of the underlying recommendation.

 

Disclaimer: The Sterling Investments series of newsletters is produced by Sterling Investment Services, Inc. All information used in the production has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate. Sterling Investment Services does not warrant or assume any liability for inaccuracy of the information used to produce our publications. To receive further information on these services please visit our web page at: www.sterlinginvestments.com If you would like to contact us our fax # is (404)-816-8830 Email address is: enelson@sterlinginvestments.com Sterling Investment Services may hold positions in the securities recommended or may be providing consulting services to the companies mentioned within this report.
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