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PRIME STOCK NEWSLETTER FOR MAY 13th, 2010

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Position Statement: In our Prime Recommendation Letter we attempt to identify the recommendation with the highest probability of moving higher.  We recommend that stop orders be placed at the time of purchase,  and once the position has moved profitable we recommend a stop be placed a minimum of $0.375 above the purchase price and moved higher as the position moves higher.

Today's Comments: The overall market finished Wednesday sharply higher in a broad based move that saw every sector index I track move higher. The strongest sectors Oil was lower by $0.72 to $75.65 per barrel, and Gold was higher by $22.80 to $1,243.10 per ounce.

One of the key things I noticed from yesterday's charts is that despite moving higher, the trading volume on the Dow Jones Industrial Average was lower than average. This is typically a negative signal. I continue to see a pattern where the up days have light volume and the down days have heavy volume. This is a classic sign of a distribution of shares that usually precedes a market pullback. A word of caution if you think the market is going higher.



Recommendation: Sell/Short

Baxter International, Inc. 'BAX'

Company: Baxter International, Inc. Symbol: 'BAX'

Closing Price: $44.88

Web: www.baxter.com

YH: $61.88 YL: $44.59 EPS: $3.621 P/E: 12.4

Shares Outstanding: 603 Million

Forecasted EPS: $3.93 Market Cap.: $27 Billion
Dividend: $1.16 Yield: 2.50% Aver. Daily Trading Volume: 6.5 Million Shares  
Price Targets:  $43.56 and then $38.58 Upside Stop:  $45.53/share
Options Rec.: June 45 Puts @ $1.75/contract Options Symbol: BAX R 45

Additional information on Baxter International, Inc. 'BAX' can be found (here)

Company Description: Baxter International Inc., through its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and markets products for people with hemophilia, immune disorders, infectious diseases, kidney disease, trauma, and other chronic and acute medical conditions. It operates in three segments: BioScience, Medication Delivery, and Renal. The BioScience segment processes recombinant and plasma-based proteins to treat hemophilia and other bleeding disorders; plasma-based therapies to treat immune deficiencies, alpha 1-antitrypsin deficiency, burns and shock, and other chronic and acute blood-related conditions; products for regenerative medicine, such as biosurgery products; and vaccines. The Medication Delivery segment manufactures intravenous solutions and administration sets; premixed drugs and drug-reconstitution systems; pre-filled vials and syringes for injectable drugs; intravenous nutrition products; infusion pumps; and inhalation anesthetics. It also offers products and services related to pharmacy compounding, drug formulation, and packaging technologies. The Renal segment provides products to treat end-stage renal disease or irreversible kidney failure. It manufactures solutions and other products for peritoneal dialysis, a home-based therapy; and distributes product for hemodialysis, which is conducted in a hospital or clinic. It markets its products to hospitals, kidney dialysis centers, nursing homes, rehabilitation centers, doctors’ offices, clinical and medical research laboratories, and patients at home under physician supervision. The company was founded in 1931 and is based in Deerfield, Illinois.

Chart for Mosaic Company

Chart updates daily

Recent News: 05/11 Britain Slashes Swine Flu Vaccine Order at BusinessWeek (Tue, May 11)
 

05/11 Baxter downgraded by Argus Briefing.com (Tue, May 11)

  05/11 Is Baxter International a Value Investment? at Seeking Alpha (Tue, May 11)

A full list of the news headlines for Baxter International, Inc. 'BAX' can be found (here)

Our Analysis: The shares of Baxter International, Inc. 'BAX' have been in a downward trend since mid April. Yesterday the shares of 'BAX' closed below a pair of recently established downside support levels on significantly heavier than normal trading volume. This is a bearish trading signal. The shares of 'BAX' should continue to move lower and test $43.56/.share, a point of downside support established on November 27th, of 2006. If the shares of 'BAX' close below that level, then they should continue to move lower and test $38.58/share, the point from which they gapped higher on the open of trading on July 20th of 2006. I see upside resistance on the shares of 'BAX' @ $45.08/share, and have set my stops accordingly at $45.53/share.


Stocks Looking Higher

MCK, PRGO, IR, ABC, ADS, RADS, ROL, IT, GLNG, DPS, SBUX, HMY, TIBX, LM, XEC, FAF, DBRN, NZ

Stocks Looking Lower

DIS, BAX, AVP, SPWRA


Yesterday's Edition of the Prime Stock Newsletter
The Sterling Investment series of newsletters is produced by Sterling Investment Services, Inc.  If you would like to receive a chart on any index or stock mentioned in this report please contact us at the below mentioned numbers.  We also offer custom research reports on any stock investment that you may desire information on.  To receive further information on these services please visit our web page at:  www.sterlinginvestments.com   If you would like to contact us our # is 800-275-6901,  fax # (404)-816-8830  Email address is: enelson@sterlinginvestments.com  Sterling Investment Services may hold positions in the securities recommended or may be providing consulting services to the companies mentioned within this report.
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