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PRIME STOCK NEWSLETTER FOR JANUARY 26th, 2010

(If you do not see today's edition, please hit the refresh button)

Position Statement: In our Prime Recommendation Letter we attempt to identify the recommendation with the highest probability of moving higher.  We recommend that stop orders be placed at the time of purchase,  and once the position has moved profitable we recommend a stop be placed a minimum of $0.375 above the purchase price and moved higher as the position moves higher.

Today's Comments: The overall market finished Monday slightly higher in a relatively broad based move that saw a majority of the sector indices I track move higher on the day. The strongest sectors were the Natural Gas, Oil Services, Insurance, Chemicals, Oil & Gas, High Tech., Telecom, Cyclicals, Banking, Commodities, Broker/Dealers, Transports, Consumer, Retailers, and Transports. There was weakness in the Gold/Silver, Biotech, Pharmaceuticals, and Airlines. Oil was higher by $0.72 to $75.26/barrel, and Gold was higher by $6.0 to $1,095.70 per ounce.

A couple notes from yesterday's charts. 1st the yesterday's positive close was extremely weak considering the size of the move downward on Thursday and Friday of last week. The second thing I noticed is that a large number of stocks have quietly moved below their 40 days moving average are in the process of breading it. This is another overall bearish indicator for the market.


Sterling Calendars for January 26th, 2010
Economic Calendar

Date

Est. Time Release

For

Consensus Prior
01/26 9:00am Case-Shiller 20 City Index. Nov. (5.00%) (7.28%)
01/26 10:00am Consumer Confidence Jan. 53.5 53.3
01/26 10:00am FHFA Home Price Index Nov. 0.1% 0.6%
01/27 10:00am New Home Sales Dec. 370K 355K
01/27 10:30am Crude Inventories 01/22 N/A (0.471m)
01/27 2:15pm FOMC Rate Decision 01/27 0.25% 0.25%
01/28 8:30am Initial Claims 01/23 450K 482K
01/28 8:30am Continuing Claims 01/16 4,600K 4,599K
01/28 8:30am Durable Orders Dec. 2.0% 0.2%
01/29 8:30am GDP-Advance Q4 4.6% 2.2%
01/29 8:30am Chain Deflator - Advance Q4 1.3% 0.4%
01/29 8:30am Employment Cost Index Q4 0.4% 0.4%
01/29 09:45AM Chicago PMI Jan. 57.4 58.7
01/29 9:55am University of Mich. Sentiment Jan. 73.0 72.8
  Misc. Calendar
Date: Comments:
01/25 Amgen 'AMGN' announces earnings after the close. Est. $1.16
01/25 Apple, Inc. 'AAPL' announces earnings after the close. Est. $2.07
01/25 Texas Instruments 'TXN' announces earnings at 4:30pm Est. $0.49
01/26 Baker Hughes 'BHI' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.35
01/26 Corning 'GLW' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.42
01/26 Delta Airlines 'DAL' announces earnings before the open. Est. ($0.24)
01/26 Johnson & Johnson 'JNJ' announces earnings. Time N/A. Est. $0.97
01/26

Verizon 'VZ' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.55

01/26 US Steel 'X' announces earnings. Time N/A. Est. ($1.43)
01/26 Yahoo, Inc. 'YHOO' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.11
01/27 Abbot 'ABT' announces earnings before the open. Est. $1.17
01/27 Airtran Holdings 'AAI' announces earnings. Time N/A. Est. $0.03
01/27 BMC Software 'BMC' announces earnings. Time N/A. Est. $0.68
01/27 Caterpillar, Inc. 'CAT' announces earnings at 7:30am Est. $0.28
01/27 ConocoPhillips 'COP' announces earnings at 8:30am Est. $1.13
01/27 General Dynamics 'GD' announces earnings. Time N/A. Est. $1.57
01/27 Boeing Co. 'BA' announces earnings at 7:30am. Est. $1.36
01/28 3M Company 'MMM' announces earnings. Time N/A. Est. $1.21
01/28 Amazon.com 'AMZN' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.72
01/28 AT&T 'T' announces earnings. Time N/A. Est. $0.51
01/28 Ford Motor 'F' announces earnings at 7:00am Est. $0.26
01/28 KLA-Tencor 'KLAC' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.27
01/28 Microsoft 'MSFT' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.59
01/29 Chevron 'CVX' announces earnings . Time N/A. Est. $1.71
01/29 Honeywell ''HON' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.90
01/29 Mattel 'MAT' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.68
  The full earnings calendar for this week can be found (here)

Recommendation: Sell/Short

Capital One Financial Corp. 'COF'

Company: Capital One Financial Corp. Symbol: 'COF' Closing Price: $36.11

Web: www.capitalone.com

YH: $43.60 YL: $7.80 EPS: $0.74 ) P/E: 49

Shares Outstanding: 450 Million

Forecasted EPS: $2.09 Market Cap.: $16 Billion
Dividend: $0.20 Yield: 0.50% Aver. Daily Trading Volume: 6.5 Million Shares  
Price Targets:  $33.19 and then $31.34 Upside Stop:  $37.03/share
Options Rec.: February 40 Puts @ $4.40/contract Options Symbol: COF N 40

Additional information on Capital One Financial Corp. 'COF' can be found (here)

Company Description: Capital One Financial Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides various financial products and services to consumers, small businesses, and commercial clients in the United States. The company offers commercial and consumer loans, commercial and consumer deposit account services, commercial credit cards, treasury management services, trust services, and other banking related products, such as insurance, brokerage services, merchant services, and investment banking, as well as provides money market and certificate of deposit accounts through Internet channels. It also provides consumer credit and debit card products, small business lending, installment loans, home loans, and other unsecured consumer financial services, as well as involves in financing for the purchase of new and used vehicles or other motor vehicles, and the refinancing for the existing motor vehicle loans. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

Chart for Mosaic Company

Chart updates daily

Recent News: 01/25 Credit card charge-offs dip slightly in December AP (Mon 12:33pm)
  01/24 The Warning Shot From Capital One at The Wall Street Journal Online 
  01/22 UPDATE - Capital One, Amex shares drop on growth worries at Reuters (Fri, Jan 22)
A full list of the news headlines for Capital One Financial Corp. 'COF' can be found (here)

Our Analysis: The shares of Capital One Financial Corp. 'COF' moved sharply lower over the course of the last 2 trading days. They finished Monday by closing below a set of key downside support levels. During the course of this downward move the trading volume has been significantly heavier than normal. This is all a bearish trading signal. The shares of 'COF' should continue to move lower and test $33.19/share, the point from which they gapped higher on the open of trading on October 5th of last year. If the shares of 'COF' close below that level, then I expect them to continue to move lower and test $31.34/share, a point of upside resistance established on May 8th of last year. I see upside resistance on the shares of 'COF' @ $36.60/share, and have set my stops accordingly @ $37.03/share.


Stocks Looking Higher

CTRN, HGR, IGTE, RMD

Stocks Looking Lower
EVERYTHING ELSE

Yesterday's Edition of the Prime Stock Newsletter
The Sterling Investment series of newsletters is produced by Sterling Investment Services, Inc.  If you would like to receive a chart on any index or stock mentioned in this report please contact us at the below mentioned numbers.  We also offer custom research reports on any stock investment that you may desire information on.  To receive further information on these services please visit our web page at:  www.sterlinginvestments.com   If you would like to contact us our # is 800-275-6901,  fax # (404)-816-8830  Email address is: enelson@sterlinginvestments.com  Sterling Investment Services may hold positions in the securities recommended or may be providing consulting services to the companies mentioned within this report.
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