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PRIME STOCK NEWSLETTER FOR JANUARY 26th, 2010 |
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Position
Statement: In our Prime Recommendation Letter we attempt to identify the recommendation with the highest probability of moving higher. We recommend that stop orders be placed at the time of purchase, and once the position has moved profitable we recommend a stop be placed a minimum of $0.375 above the purchase price and moved higher as the position moves higher. |
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Today's Comments: The overall market finished Monday slightly higher in a relatively broad based move that saw a majority of the sector indices I track move higher on the day. The strongest sectors were the Natural Gas, Oil Services, Insurance, Chemicals, Oil & Gas, High Tech., Telecom, Cyclicals, Banking, Commodities, Broker/Dealers, Transports, Consumer, Retailers, and Transports. There was weakness in the Gold/Silver, Biotech, Pharmaceuticals, and Airlines. Oil was higher by $0.72 to $75.26/barrel, and Gold was higher by $6.0 to $1,095.70 per ounce.
A couple notes from yesterday's charts. 1st the yesterday's positive close was extremely weak considering the size of the move downward on Thursday and Friday of last week. The second thing I noticed is that a large number of stocks have quietly moved below their 40 days moving average are in the process of breading it. This is another overall bearish indicator for the market.
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Sterling
Calendars for January 26th, 2010 |
Date: |
Comments: |
01/25 |
Amgen 'AMGN' announces earnings after the close. Est. $1.16 |
01/25 |
Apple, Inc. 'AAPL' announces earnings after the close. Est. $2.07 |
01/25 |
Texas Instruments 'TXN' announces earnings at 4:30pm Est. $0.49 |
01/26 |
Baker Hughes 'BHI' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.35 |
01/26 |
Corning 'GLW' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.42 |
01/26 |
Delta Airlines 'DAL' announces earnings before the open. Est. ($0.24) |
01/26 |
Johnson & Johnson 'JNJ' announces earnings. Time N/A. Est. $0.97 |
01/26 |
Verizon 'VZ' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.55 |
01/26 |
US Steel 'X' announces earnings. Time N/A. Est. ($1.43) |
01/26 |
Yahoo, Inc. 'YHOO' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.11 |
01/27 |
Abbot 'ABT' announces earnings before the open. Est. $1.17 |
01/27 |
Airtran Holdings 'AAI' announces earnings. Time N/A. Est. $0.03 |
01/27 |
BMC Software 'BMC' announces earnings. Time N/A. Est. $0.68 |
01/27 |
Caterpillar, Inc. 'CAT' announces earnings at 7:30am Est. $0.28 |
01/27 |
ConocoPhillips 'COP' announces earnings at 8:30am Est. $1.13 |
01/27 |
General Dynamics 'GD' announces earnings. Time N/A. Est. $1.57 |
01/27 |
Boeing Co. 'BA' announces earnings at 7:30am. Est. $1.36 |
01/28 |
3M Company 'MMM' announces earnings. Time N/A. Est. $1.21 |
01/28 |
Amazon.com 'AMZN' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.72 |
01/28 |
AT&T 'T' announces earnings. Time N/A. Est. $0.51 |
01/28 |
Ford Motor 'F' announces earnings at 7:00am Est. $0.26 |
01/28 |
KLA-Tencor 'KLAC' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.27 |
01/28 |
Microsoft 'MSFT' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.59 |
01/29 |
Chevron 'CVX' announces earnings . Time N/A. Est. $1.71 |
01/29 |
Honeywell ''HON' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.90 |
01/29 |
Mattel 'MAT' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.68 |
The
full earnings calendar for this
week can be found (here) |
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Recommendation: Sell/Short
Capital One Financial Corp. 'COF' |
Company: Capital One Financial Corp. |
Symbol: 'COF' |
Closing
Price: $36.11 |
Web: www.capitalone.com |
YH: $43.60 YL: $7.80 |
EPS: $0.74 ) P/E: 49 |
Shares
Outstanding: 450 Million |
Forecasted
EPS: $2.09 |
Market Cap.: $16 Billion |
Dividend: $0.20 |
Yield: 0.50% |
Aver.
Daily Trading Volume: 6.5 Million Shares |
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Price Targets: $33.19 and then $31.34 |
Upside Stop: $37.03/share |
Options Rec.: February 40 Puts @ $4.40/contract |
Options
Symbol: COF N 40 |
Additional information on Capital One Financial Corp. 'COF' can be found (here)
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Company Description: Capital One Financial Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides various financial products and services to consumers, small businesses, and commercial clients in the United States. The company offers commercial and consumer loans, commercial and consumer deposit account services, commercial credit cards, treasury management services, trust services, and other banking related products, such as insurance, brokerage services, merchant services, and investment banking, as well as provides money market and certificate of deposit accounts through Internet channels. It also provides consumer credit and debit card products, small business lending, installment loans, home loans, and other unsecured consumer financial services, as well as involves in financing for the purchase of new and used vehicles or other motor vehicles, and the refinancing for the existing motor vehicle loans. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.
Chart updates daily |
A full list of the news headlines for Capital One Financial Corp. 'COF' can be found (here) |
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Our Analysis: The shares of Capital One Financial Corp. 'COF' moved sharply lower over the course of the last 2 trading days. They finished Monday by closing below a set of key downside support levels. During the course of this downward move the trading volume has been significantly heavier than normal. This is all a bearish trading signal. The shares of 'COF' should continue to move lower and test $33.19/share, the point from which they gapped higher on the open of trading on October 5th of last year. If the shares of 'COF' close below that level, then I expect them to continue to move lower and test $31.34/share, a point of upside resistance established on May 8th of last year. I see upside resistance on the shares of 'COF' @ $36.60/share, and have set my stops accordingly @ $37.03/share.
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Stocks
Looking Higher |
CTRN, HGR, IGTE, RMD
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Stocks Looking Lower |
EVERYTHING ELSE |
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Yesterday's Edition of the Prime Stock Newsletter |
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