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PRIME STOCK NEWSLETTER FOR JANUARY 20th, 2010

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Position Statement: In our Prime Recommendation Letter we attempt to identify the recommendation with the highest probability of moving higher.  We recommend that stop orders be placed at the time of purchase,  and once the position has moved profitable we recommend a stop be placed a minimum of $0.375 above the purchase price and moved higher as the position moves higher.

Today's Comments: The overall market finished Tuesday sharply higher in a broad based move that saw every sector index I track move higher on the day. The strongest sectors were the Healthcare Providers, Natural Gas, Insurance, Semiconductors, Cyclicals, High Tech, Airlines, Chemicals, Commodities, Oil Services, Consumer, and Oil & Gas indices. Oil was higher by $1.02 to $79.02/barrel, and Gold higher by $9.60 to $1,139.70 per ounce.


Sterling Calendars for January 20th, 2010
Economic Calendar

Date

Est. Time Release

For

Consensus Prior
01/20 8:30am Building Permits Dec. 580K 584K
01/20 8:30am Housing Starts Dec. 575K 574K
01/20 8:30am Core PPI Dec. 0.1% 0.5%
01/20 8:30am PPI Dec. 0.0% 1.8%
01/21 8:30am Initial Claims 01/16 440K 444K
01/21 8:30am Continuing Claims 01/09 4,600K 4,596K
01/21 10:00am Leading Indicators Dec. 0.7% 0.9%
01/21 10:00am Philadelphia Fed. Jan. 18.8 20.4
01/21 11:00am Crude Inventories 01/15 N/A 3.70M
Date: Comments:
01/20 AMR Corporation 'AMR' announces earnings. Time N/A. Est. ($1.19)
01/20 Bank of America 'BAC' announces earnings. Time N/A Est. ($0.52)
01/20 eBay, Inc. 'EBAY' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.40
01/20 Morgan Stanley 'MS' announces earnings at 8:00am. Est. 0.36
01/21 American Express 'AXP' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.55
01/21 Continental Airlines 'CAL' announces earnings before the open. Est ($0.10)
01/21 Goldman Sachs 'GS' announces earnings before the open. Est $5.19
01/21 Google 'GOOG' announces earnings after the close. Est. $6.43
01/21 Western Digital 'WDC' announces earnings after the close. Est. $1.35
01/22 General Electric 'GE' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.26
01/22 McDonald's Corp. 'MDC' announces earnings before the open. Est. $1.02
01/22 Schlumberger 'SLB' announces earnings at 6:00am ET. Est. $0.63
  The full earnings calendar for this week can be found (here)

Recommendation: Sell/Short

Paychex, Inc. 'PAYX'

Company: Paychex, Inc. Symbol: 'PAYX' Closing Price: $30.43

Web: www.paychex.com

YH: $32.88 YL: $20.31 EPS: $1.37 P/E: 22

Shares Outstanding: 361 Million

Forecasted EPS: $1.43 Market Cap.: $11 Billion
Dividend: $1.24 Yield: 4.00% Aver. Daily Trading Volume: 3.4 Million Shares  
Price Targets:  $29.14 and then $28.06 Upside Stop:  $31.37/share
Options Rec.: February 30 Puts @ $0.60/contract Options Symbol: PAYX N30

Additional information on Paychex, Inc. 'PAYX' can be found (here)

Company Description: Paychex, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides payroll, human resource, and benefits outsourcing solutions for small- to medium-sized businesses in the United States and Germany. It offers payroll processing services, which include calculation, preparation, and delivery of employee payroll checks; production of internal accounting records and management reports; preparation of federal, state, and local payroll tax returns; and collection and remittance of clients’ payroll obligations. The company also provides payroll tax administration services; employee payment services; and regulatory compliance services, such as new-hire reporting and garnishment processing. Its human resource outsourcing services include payroll, employer compliance, human resource and employee benefits administration, risk management outsourcing, and the on-site availability of a professionally trained human resource representative. In addition, the company offers retirement services administration; workers’ compensation insurance services; health and benefits services; time and attendance solutions; and other human resource services and products. It also operates a professional employer organization. As of May 31, 2009, the company served approximately 554,000 clients in the United States; and 1,600 clients in Germany. Paychex, Inc. was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York..

Chart for Mosaic Company

Chart updates daily

Recent News:
01/15 Paychex downgraded by Janney Mntgmy Scott Briefing.com (Fri, Jan 15)
 
  01/08 Paychex Declares Quarterly Dividend Business Wire (Fri, Jan 8)
  12/31 Paychex Prepares For Hiring Mode at Investopedia (Thu, Dec 31)
A full list of the news headlines for Paychex, Inc. 'PAYX' can be found (here)

Our Analysis: The shares of Paychex, Inc. 'PAYX' moved lower yesterday and closed below a pair of recently established support level. This is a bearish trading indicator. The shares of 'PAYX' should continue to move lower and test $29.14/share, the point from which it gapped higher on the open of trading on November 5th of last year. If the shares of 'PAYX' close below that level, then I expect them to continue to move lower and test $28.06/share, a point of downside support established on October 2nd, 2010. I see upside resistance on the shares of 'PAYX' @ $30.95/share, and have set my stops accordingly at $31.37/share.


Stocks Looking Higher

PFCB, IBM, ACS, PFE, PH, CELG, CNQR, AKAM, NBL, SXI, TYC, BYI, CI, JNJ, WCC, FORR, MET, IBM, TGT, ABT, COF, MAT, BJS, CAH, L, CTXS, LXK

Stocks Looking Lower
PAYX, MED, LIFE, NTRI, CNW, JCG, LNCR, SNDA, TNDM

Yesterday's Edition of the Prime Stock Newsletter
The Sterling Investment series of newsletters is produced by Sterling Investment Services, Inc.  If you would like to receive a chart on any index or stock mentioned in this report please contact us at the below mentioned numbers.  We also offer custom research reports on any stock investment that you may desire information on.  To receive further information on these services please visit our web page at:  www.sterlinginvestments.com   If you would like to contact us our # is 800-275-6901,  fax # (404)-816-8830  Email address is: enelson@sterlinginvestments.com  Sterling Investment Services may hold positions in the securities recommended or may be providing consulting services to the companies mentioned within this report.
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