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PRIME STOCK NEWSLETTER FOR JANUARY 19th, 2010 |
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Position
Statement: In our Prime Recommendation Letter we attempt to identify the recommendation with the highest probability of moving higher. We recommend that stop orders be placed at the time of purchase, and once the position has moved profitable we recommend a stop be placed a minimum of $0.375 above the purchase price and moved higher as the position moves higher. |
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Today's Comments: The overall market finished Friday sharply lower in a broad based move that saw every sector index I track move lower on the day. The weakest sectors were the Semiconductors, Airlines, Banking, Gold/Silver, Transports, High Tech, Oil Services, Commodities, Cyclicals, and Consumer indices.
A couple of important items from my review of Friday's trading activity. 1st the majority of the sector indices I track have negative chart patterns; and 2nd the majority of the heavy volume stocks I looked at had downward chart patterns. These 2 items when occurring together generally precede a market pullback.
One wild card in today's trading is the special Senate election in Massachusetts to fill the vacancy created by the death of Ted Kennedy.
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Sterling
Calendars for January 19th, 2010 |
Date: |
Comments: |
01/19 |
Citibank 'C' announces earnings before the open. Est. ($0.33) |
01/19 |
CSX Corp. 'CSX' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.76 |
01/19 |
Int'l Business Machines 'IBM' announces earnings after the close. Est. $3.47 |
01/19 |
McMorran Exploration 'MMR' announces earnings before the open. Est. ($0.26) |
01/19 |
Parker Hanifin Corp. 'PH' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.35 |
01/19 |
TD Ameritrade 'AMTD' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.26 |
01/20 |
AMR Corporation 'AMR' announces earnings. Time N/A. Est. ($1.19) |
01/20 |
Bank of America 'BAC' announces earnings. Time N/A Est. ($0.52) |
01/20 |
eBay, Inc. 'EBAY' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.40 |
01/20 |
Morgan Stanley 'MS' announces earnings at 8:00am. Est. 0.36 |
01/21 |
American Express 'AXP' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.55 |
01/21 |
Continental Airlines 'CAL' announces earnings before the open. Est ($0.10) |
01/21 |
Goldman Sachs 'GS' announces earnings before the open. Est $5.19 |
01/21 |
Google 'GOOG' announces earnings after the close. Est. $6.43 |
01/21 |
Western Digital 'WDC' announces earnings after the close. Est. $1.35 |
01/22 |
General Electric 'GE' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.26 |
01/22 |
McDonald's Corp. 'MDC' announces earnings before the open. Est. $1.02 |
01/22 |
Schlumberger 'SLB' announces earnings at 6:00am ET. Est. $0.63 |
The
full earnings calendar for this
week can be found (here) |
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Recommendation: Sell/Short
Western Digital Corp. 'WDC' |
Company: Western Digital Corp. |
Symbol: 'WDC' |
Closing
Price: $43.98 |
Web: www.westerndigital.com |
YH: $47.44 YL: $12.01 |
EPS: $2.41 P/E: 18 |
Shares
Outstanding: 225 Million |
Forecasted
EPS: $4.72 |
Market Cap.: $10 Billion |
Dividend: N/A |
Yield: N/A |
Aver.
Daily Trading Volume: 3.5 Million Shares |
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Price Targets: $39.60 and then $39.16 |
Upside Stop: $45.07/share |
Options Rec.: February 45 Puts @ $2.75/contract |
Options
Symbol: WDC N45 |
Additional information on Western Digital Corp. 'WDC' can be found (here)
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Company Description: Western Digital Corporation engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of hard drives worldwide. It offers hard drives, including 3.5-inch, 2.5-inch, 1.8-inch, and 1.0-inch form factor drives under WD Caviar, WD RE, WD VelociRaptor, WD Scorpio, WD Elements, WD AV, My Passport, My Book, My DVR Expander, and WD GreenPower Technology brand names. The companys hard drives are used in desktop computers, notebook computers, enterprise storage, workstations, video surveillance equipment, networking products, digital video recorders, satellite and cable set-top boxes, and external storage appliances. Western Digital Corporation sells its products to original equipment manufacturers and original design manufacturers for inclusion in computer systems or subsystems, distributors, resellers, and retailers. It has a collaboration agreement with NEC Electronics Corp. to promote the SuperSpeed Universal Serial Bus 3.0 standard, an interface to be used in a range of electronic devices, including personal computers (PC), PC peripherals, and digital appliances. The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, California..
Chart updates daily |
A full list of the news headlines for Western Digital Corp. 'WDC' can be found (here) |
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Our Analysis: The shares of Western Digital Corp. 'WDC' moved sharply lower on heavy trading volume on Friday. They finished the day by closing below a recently established support level. Additionally the shares of 'WDC' are a component of the Disk Drive Index 'DDX' which I have rated as moving lower from its current levels. These are both bearish trading signals for the shares of 'WDC'. I see the shares of 'WDC' continuing to move lower and test $39.60/share, the point from which they gapped higher on the open of trading on December 16th of last year. If the shares of 'WDC' close below that level, then I expect them to continue to move lower and test $39.16/share, a point of downside support established on November 16th of last year. I see upside resistance on the shares of 'WDC' @ $44.69/share, and have set my stops accordingly at $45.07/share.
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Stocks
Looking Higher |
MA, PFE, SYMC, UNH, KNL, HLF, BJS, VLO, MO, WLP, MJN, CHKP, NBL, ALTH
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Stocks Looking Lower |
AMAT, TSM, SLM, STP, TWX, KLAC, ADI, BBY, CREE, TER, WDC, MXIM, URBN, FCS, FRX, VRTX, WTI, NETC, RINO |
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Yesterday's Edition of the Prime Stock Newsletter |
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