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PRIME
STOCK NEWSLETTER FOR January 20th, 2009 |
(If you do not see today's edition, please hit the refresh button) |
Position
Statement: In our Prime
Recommendation Letter we attempt to identify the
recommendation with the highest probability of
moving higher. We recommend that stop orders
be placed at the time of purchase, and once
the position has moved profitable we recommend
a stop be placed a minimum of $0.375 above the
purchase price and moved higher as the position
moves higher. |
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Today's Comments: The overall market finished Friday slightly higher in a relatively broad based move that saw the majority of the sector indices I track move higher on the day. The strongest sectors on the day were Airlines, Disk Drive Manufacturers, Insurance, Retailers, Oil & Gas, High Tech, Commodities, Chemicals, Healthcare Providers, and Telecom indices. There was weakness in the Banking, Transports, Broker/Dealer, and Interactive indices. In completing my nightly review of the charts from Friday's trading activity, I noticed that many of the biotech and pharmaceuticals firms are starting to see buying coming into them. While they still need a few more days to break above their respective resistance levels, they are worth keeping an eye on. My interpretation of the activity surrounding their shares is that the people behind the money going into those companies think that either healthcare spending is actually going to rise under the new administration, or more likely research and development spending is going to increase, or both. However, the rest of the various sector indices look weak. The Bottom Line: The market should go lower.
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Sterling Calendar for January 20th, 2009 |
Date |
Est.
Time |
Release |
For |
Briefing.com |
Consensus |
Prior |
01/16 |
8:30am |
Core CPI |
Dec. |
(0.0%) |
(0.1%) |
(0.0%) |
01/16 |
8:30am |
CPI |
Dec. |
(1.0%) |
(1.0%) |
(1.7%) |
01/16 |
9:15am |
Capacity Utilization |
Dec. |
|
74.7% |
75.4% |
01/16 |
9:15am |
Industrial Production |
Dec. |
|
(0.8%) |
(0.6%) |
01/16 |
9:55am |
Michigan Sentiment-Pre |
Jan |
61.00 |
60.0 |
60.1 |
Date: |
Comments: |
01/16 |
Johnson Controls 'JCI' reports earnings. Time N/A. Est. $0.10 |
01/16 |
PPG Industries reports earnings before the open. Est. $0.41 |
The
full earnings calendar for this
week can be found (here) |
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Recommendation: SELL/SHORT
Devon Energy Corp. 'DVN' |
Company: Devon Energy Corp. |
Symbol: 'DVN' |
Closing
Price: $58.68 |
Web: www.devonenergy.com
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YH: $127.43
YL: $54.40 |
EPS: $13.32 P/E: 4.6 |
Shares
Outstanding: 441 Million |
Forecasted
EPS:.$3.92 |
Market Cap.:
$27 Billion |
Dividend: $0.64 |
Yield: 1.0% |
Aver.
Daily Trading Volume: 6 Million Shares |
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Price Targets: $57.34, $53.77, and then $49.10 |
Upside Stop: $59.89/share |
Options Rec.: February 55 Puts @ $3.30 |
Options
Symbol: DVNNY |
Additional
information on Devon Energy Corp. "DVN" can be found (here) |
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Company Description: Devon Energy Corporation and its subsidiaries primarily engage in oil and gas exploration, development, and production; the transportation of oil, gas, and natural gas liquids; and the processing of natural gas. The company owns oil and gas properties principally in the Permian Basin within Texas and New Mexico; the Mid-Continent area of the central and southern United States; the Rocky Mountains area of the United States; the offshore areas of the Gulf of Mexico; and the onshore areas of the Gulf Coast, principally in south Texas and south Louisiana. It also owns oil and gas properties in the provinces of Alberta, British Columbia, and Saskatchewan, Canada. In addition, the company owns properties located in Azerbaijan, Brazil, and China. Further, Devon Energy's marketing and midstream operations include the marketing of oil, gas, and natural gas liquids, as well as the construction and operation of pipelines, storage and treating facilities, and gas processing plants in North America. As of December 31, 2007, the company had proved reserves of 677 million barrels of oil; 8,994 billion cubic feet of gas; and 321 million barrels of natural gas liquids. It also had interests in 5,586 net oil producing wells and 14,960 net gas producing wells. Devon Energy sells its gas production to various customers, including pipelines, utilities, gas marketing firms, industrial users, and local distribution companies; and crude oil production to refiners, remarketers, and other companies. The company was founded in 1971 and is based in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
Chart updates daily |
A
full list of the news headlines
for Devon Energy Corp. "DVN" can
be found (here) |
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Our Analysis: The shares of Devon Energy Corp. 'DVN' closed below a key support level yesterday on heavier than normal trading volume. This is a bearish trading signal. The shares of 'DVN' should continue to move lower and test $57.34/share, the point from which they gapped higher on the open of trading on July 24th of 2006. If the shares of 'DVN' close below that level as I expect they will, then they should keep moving lower and test $53.77/share, the point from which they gapped higher on the open of trading on June 23rd, 2006. There is a good chance the shares of 'DVN' should close below that level and test our lower price target of $49.10/share, a point of support established in mid June of 2006. I see upside resistance on the shares of 'DVN' @ $59.50/share, and have set my stops accordingly @ $59.89/share.
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Stocks
Looking Higher |
PALM, MO, SGP, TSO, WEN, WYE, MDT, BLUD, URBN, BIIB |
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Stocks Looking Lower |
AAPL, HPQ, DOW, JNJ, AVP, VZP, UNP, OI, RDC, NSC, JBHT |
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Yesterday's
Edition of the Prime Stock Newsletter |
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fax # (404)-816-8830 Email address is: enelson@sterlinginvestments.com
Sterling Investment Services may hold positions
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consulting services to the companies mentioned
within this report. |
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