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PRIME
STOCK NEWSLETTER FOR DECEMBER 9th, 2009 |
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Position
Statement: In our Prime
Recommendation Letter we attempt to identify the
recommendation with the highest probability of
moving higher. We recommend that stop orders
be placed at the time of purchase, and once
the position has moved profitable we recommend
a stop be placed a minimum of $0.375 above the
purchase price and moved higher as the position
moves higher. |
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Today's Comments: The overall market finished sharply lower on a day that saw every sector index I track except for the Semiconductors move lower. The weakest sectors were the Gold/Silver, Oil Services, Commodities, Oil & Gas, Natural Gas, Chemicals, Consumer, Telecom, Broker/Dealer, High Tech, Healthcare related, and Retailers. Oil finished the day higher by $0.66 to $73.28/barrel, and Gold was lower by $10.60 to $1,132.80 per ounce.
In my review of the charts from yesterday's trading activity I noticed a couple of items that I felt were relevant for the market today. The 1st being that the majority of the sector indices I track have chart patterns that look to be moving lower. The second being that the vast majority of the high volume shares also have chart patterns indicating they are moving lower. I take both of these items to be a sign that we could see what may be the start of a short term market pullback.
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Sterling
Calendars for the Week of December 9th, 2009 |
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Recommendation: Sell/Short
Southwestern Energy Co. 'SWN' |
Company: Southwestern Energy Co. |
Symbol: 'SWN' |
Closing
Price: $41.31 |
Web: www.swn.com |
YH: $50.61 YL: $25.01 |
EPS: ($0.26) P/E: N/A |
Shares
Outstanding: 345 Million |
Forecasted
EPS: $2.35 |
Market Cap.: $14 Billion |
Dividend: N/A |
Yield: N/A |
Aver.
Daily Trading Volume: 4.4 Million Shares |
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Price Targets: $40.28 and then $37.21 |
Upside Stop: $41.93/share |
Options Rec.: December 45 Puts@ $3.90/contract |
Options
Symbol: SWN X45 |
Additional
information on Southwestern Energy Co. 'SWN' can be found (here)
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Company Description: Southwestern Energy Company engages in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas and crude oil in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Exploration and Production, and Midstream Services. The Exploration and Production segment involves in the development of the unconventional gas reservoir located on the Arkansas side of the Arkoma Basin, as well as exploration and production activities in Oklahoma, Texas, and Pennsylvania. This segment also engages in conventional drilling programs in the Arkansas part of the Arkoma Basin; and conducts development drilling and exploration programs in the Oklahoma portion of the Arkoma Basin, Texas and Pennsylvania, as well as operates drilling rigs in the Fayetteville Shale play and in East Texas. The Midstream Services segment engages in the marketing of its own gas production, as well as third party natural gas; and transportation of natural gas. As of December 31, 2008, the companys estimated proved natural gas and oil reserves were approximately 2,185 billion cubic feet of gas equivalent. Southwestern Energy Company was founded in 1929 and is based in Houston, Texas.
Chart updates daily |
A
full list of the news headlines
for the Southwestern Energy Co. 'SWN' can be found (here) |
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Our Analysis: The shares of Southwestern Energy Co. 'SWN' gapped lower on the open of trading yesterday. They finished the day sharply lower and closing below a recently established support level on heavier than normal trading volume. This is a bearish trading signal. The shares of 'SWN' should continue to move lower and test $40.28/share, a point of downside support established on October 1st of this year. If the shares of 'SWN' close below that level then they should continue to move lower and test $37.21/share, the point from which they gapped higher on the open of trading on September 8th of this year. I see upside resistance on the shares of 'SWN' @ $41.49/share, and have set my stops accordingly @ $41.93/share.
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Stocks
Looking Higher |
FDX, CYBX, IOC, NTY, DTV, ALTR, BIG, AXE, LRCX, CLX, CI, SYY, NVLS, CBS, KMR, AGU, GCI, ALTR |
Stocks Looking Lower |
PFE, KR, INTC, DELL, WFT, ORCL, XOM, PBR, MCD, RIG, EP, WAG, MRO, AMT, APC, JEC, BHI, DVN, APA, DO, AIZ |
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Yesterday's
Edition of the Prime Stock Newsletter |
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