|
PRIME
STOCK NEWSLETTER FOR August 17th, 2009 |
(If you do not see today's edition, please hit the refresh button) |
Position
Statement: In our Prime
Recommendation Letter we attempt to identify the
recommendation with the highest probability of
moving higher. We recommend that stop orders
be placed at the time of purchase, and once
the position has moved profitable we recommend
a stop be placed a minimum of $0.375 above the
purchase price and moved higher as the position
moves higher. |
|
Today's Comments: The overall market is looks to open sharply lower today in part due to a sell off in global markets. I generally do not like market opens that jump sharply in either direction; the problem with these opens is that stocks can gap open past our initial price targets and not allow us the chance to get in. After all, remember one of the key features of successful trading is managing your risk in a trade.
|
Sterling
Calendars for the Week of August 17th, 2009 |
Date |
Est.
Time |
Release |
For |
Consensus |
Prior |
08/17 |
8:30am |
Empire Manufacturing |
Aug. |
2.20 |
(0.55) |
08/17 |
9:00am |
Net Long Term TIC Flows |
June |
$17.5B |
($19.8B) |
08/18 |
8:30am |
Building Permits |
July |
576K |
570K |
08/18 |
8:30am |
Core PPI |
July |
0.1% |
0.5% |
08/18 |
8:30am |
PPI |
July |
(0.2%) |
1.8% |
08/18 |
8:30am |
Housing Starts |
July |
589K |
582K |
08/19 |
10:30am |
Crude Inventories |
08/14 |
|
+2.5M |
08/20 |
8:30am |
Initial Claims |
08/15 |
553K |
558K |
08/20 |
10:00am |
Leading Indicators |
July |
0.6% |
0.7% |
08/20 |
10:00am |
Philadelphia Fed |
AUg |
(2.0) |
(7.5) |
08/21 |
10:00am |
Existing Home Sales |
July |
5.0m |
4.89m |
Date: |
Comments: |
08/17 |
Lowe's Companies 'LOW' reports earnings. Time N/A. Est. $0.54 |
08/18 |
Analog Devices 'ADI' reports earnings after the close. Est. $0.20 |
08/18 |
Home Depot 'HD' reports earnings. Time N/A. Est. $0.59 |
08/18 |
Hewlett Packard 'HPQ' reports earnings after the close. Est. $0.90 |
08/18 |
Target 'TGT' reports earnings before the open. Est. $0.66 |
08/19 |
Deere & Company 'DE' reports earnings before the open. Est. $0.57 |
08/20 |
Gap, Inc. 'GPS' reports earnings at 4:00pm. Est. $0.32 |
08/20 |
Ross Stores 'ROST' reports earnings at 8:30am ET. Est. $0.82 |
08/21 |
Ann Taylor Stores 'ANN' reports earnings at 8:00am. Est. $0.02 |
The
full earnings calendar for this
week can be found (here) |
|
|
Recommendation: SELL/SHORT
Hess Corp. 'HES' |
Company: Hess Corp. |
Symbol: 'HES' |
Closing
Price: $51.15 |
Web: www.hess.com |
YH: 110.00 YL: $35.50 |
EPS: $2.28 P/E: 22.5 |
Shares
Outstanding: 325 Million |
Forecasted
EPS:.$1.25 |
Market Cap.: $17 Billion |
Dividend: $0.40 |
Yield: 0.80% |
Aver.
Daily Trading Volume: 6 Million Shares |
|
Price Targets: $49.35, and then $47.50 |
Upside Stop: $52.19/share |
Options Rec.: September 50 Puts @ $0.70/contract |
Options
Symbol: IGG TJ |
Additional
information on Hess Corp. 'HES' can be found (here)
|
|
Company Description: Hess Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, production, purchase, transportation, and sale of crude oil and natural gas worldwide. It operates in two segments, Exploration and Production (E&P) and Marketing and Refining (M&R). The E&P segment explores for, develops, produces, purchases, transports, and sells crude oil and natural gas. Its exploration and production activities take place principally in Algeria, Australia, Azerbaijan, Brazil, Denmark, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Ghana, Indonesia, Libya, Malaysia, Norway, Peru, Russia, Thailand, the United Kingdom, and the United States. The M&R segment manufactures, purchases, transports, trades, and markets refined petroleum products, natural gas, and electricity. It owns 50% of a refinery joint venture in the United States Virgin Islands, and another refining facility, terminals, and retail gasoline stations with convenience stores on the East Coast of the United States. The company markets refined petroleum products on the East Coast of the United States to the motoring public, wholesale distributors, industrial and commercial users, other petroleum companies, governmental agencies, and public utilities. As of December 31, 2008, the company operated 1,366 HESS gasoline stations, including stations owned by the WilcoHess joint venture. In addition, Hess Corporation has a 92.5% interest in Hess LNG, which is pursuing investments in liquefied natural gas terminals and related supply, trading, and marketing opportunities; and has a 50% voting interest in a consolidated partnership that trades energy commodities and derivatives. It owned 21 terminals with an aggregate storage capacity of 22 million barrels in its East Coast marketing areas; and a terminal in St. Lucia with a storage capacity of 10 million barrels, which is operated for third party storage. The company was founded in 1920 and is based in New York, New York.
Chart updates daily |
A
full list of the news headlines
for Hess Corp. 'HES' can
be found (here) |
|
Our Analysis: The shares of Hess Corp. 'HES' have been trending lower since the start of August. They closed Friday by closing below a recently established support level. This is a bearish trading signal. The shares of 'HES' should continue to move lower and test $49.35/share, the point from which they gapped higher on the open of trading on July 15th of this year. If the shares of 'HES' close below that level as I expect they will, then they should continue to move lower and test $47.50/share, a point of downside support established on July 10th of this year. If the shares of 'HES' manage to move below both of these price targets then I see the next level of support coming in at $38.49/share. I see upside resistance on the shares of 'HES' @ $51.72/share and have set my stops accordingly at $52.19/share.
|
|
|
Stocks
Looking Higher |
UTI, SCSS, PRX, DSGX, HTH, RF, BBT, THC, ADSK, HOOLX, XLNX, FE
|
|
Stocks Looking Lower |
GE, INTC, CSCO, AMAT, XOM, EP, GLW, DOW, JWN, BA, DHI, CAT, VLO, JCP, KGC, JNPR, MAS, JCI, CAG, WDC, ADM, DE, PDE, BBBY, MHP, FDO |
|
Yesterday's
Edition of the Prime Stock Newsletter |
The
Sterling Investment series of newsletters is produced
by Sterling Investment Services, Inc. If
you would like to receive a chart on any index
or stock mentioned in this report please contact
us at the below mentioned numbers. We also
offer custom research reports on any stock investment
that you may desire information on. To receive
further information on these services please visit
our web page at: www.sterlinginvestments.com
If you would like to contact us our # is 800-275-6901,
fax # (404)-816-8830 Email address is: enelson@sterlinginvestments.com
Sterling Investment Services may hold positions
in the securities recommended or may be providing
consulting services to the companies mentioned
within this report. |
Copyright
1992-2009 Sterling Investment Services, Inc.
P.O. Box 191767, Atlanta, GA. 31119-1767
Fax 404-816-8830
404-816-8240 |
|
|
Providing
Investment Banking Consulting Services to Public
Companies |
|