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PRIME
STOCK NEWSLETTER FOR SEPTEMBER 28th, 2005 |
Position
Statement: In our Prime
Recommendation Letter we attempt to identify the
recommendation with the highest probability of
moving higher. We recommend that stop orders
be placed at the time of purchase, and once
the position has moved profitable we recommend
a stop be placed a minimum of $0.25 above the
purchase price and moved higher as the position
moves higher. |
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Today’s Comments: The overall
market finished Tuesday mixed with the NASDAQ
finishing slightly lower, while the S&P
500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished
the day slightly higher. It appears that the
broader market moved lower on the day with the
weakest sectors being the Gold/Silver, Semiconductors,
Pharmaceuticals, Healthcare Providers, Biotech,
Computers, High Tech, Telecom, Technology, Interactive,
Internet, Oil & Gas, Commodities, Banking,
and Cyclicals. There was strength in the Airlines,
Consumer, Utilities, Broker/Dealers, Natural
Gas, and Chemicals. The bond market was weak
as interest rates moved slightly higher. Well,
to say these recent storms have created a wave
of uncertainty in the markets would put it mildly.
The vast majority of the sector indices I track
are not giving a clear signal as to the direction
of their trends; in other words they appear
to be tracking sideways. The rest appear to
be weak and trending lower. I think what is
certain is that time passes and more information
becomes available about the total damage and
the recovery process, the market will not be
where it is now. I think the "smart money"
in the market is doing one of two things. It
is either trying to place its bets on which
direction the market will go, whether it is
higher or lower; or they are structure their
positions so that regardless of the direction
the market moves they will make money. For us,
it means that we need to keep our stops close
on our current positions. For the overall market,
the 1st Rule of Trends applies "A trend
remains in place until it is broken." The
Bottom Line: The overall market should
continue to move lower.
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Sterling Calendar for
September 28th, 2005
|
Date |
Est.
Time |
Release |
For |
Briefing.com |
Consensus |
Prior |
9/28 |
8:30am |
Durable
Orders |
Aug |
1.0% |
0.7% |
(4.9%) |
Date: |
Comments: |
9/28 |
Kerr-McGee 'KMG' reports
earnings. Time not supplied. est. $2.60 |
9/28 |
Red-Hat 'RHAT' reports earnings
after the close. Est.$0.07 |
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Recommendation:
Pride
International, Inc. |
Company:
Pride International, Inc. |
Symbol:
'PDE' |
Closing
Price: $27.30 |
YH:
$27.49 YL: $17.63 |
EPS: $0.13 P/E: 218 |
Forecasted
EPS: $1.60 |
Shares
Outstanding: 158 Million |
Float: N/A |
Market
Cap.: $4.3 Billion |
Dividend:
$0.00 |
Yield: N/A |
Average
Daily Trading Volume: 1.7 Million |
Price
Targets: $29.61, $32.92, and
then $47.40
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Downside Stop: $26.71/share |
Options
Rec.: October 25 Calls @ $2.65/contract |
Options
Symbol: PDEJE |
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Company
Description: Pride International, Inc. provides
onshore and offshore contract drilling and related
services to oil and gas companies, as well as
to independent oil and gas producers. It provides
rigs and drilling crews, as well as cementing,
stimulation, carbon dioxide, coiled tubing, and
production services. The company also manages
integrated services projects in Argentina and
other South American countries. Further, Pride
International offers various rig management services
comprising technical drilling assistance, personnel,
repair and maintenance services, and drilling
operation management services. As of March 1,
2005, the company operated a fleet of 290 rigs
that comprised 2 ultra-deepwater drillships; 12
semisubmersible rigs; 29 jackup rigs; 20 tender-assisted,
barge, and platform rigs; and 227 land-based drilling
and workover rigs. Its operations are conducted
in the oil and gas basins worldwide, including
South America, the Gulf of Mexico, the Mediterranean,
West Africa, the Middle East, Asia Pacific, Russia,
and Kazakhstan. The company is headquartered in
Houston, Texas. |
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Our
Analysis: The shares of Pride International,
Inc. 'PDE' set a new yearly high yesterday on
heavier than normal trading volume. This is a
bullish trading signal. In the process the shares
of 'PDE' completed a "cup and handle"
pattern which is also a very bullish trading signal.
The shares of 'PDE' should continue to move higher
and test $29.61/share, our price target from the
"handle" portion of the pattern. If
the shares of 'PDE' close above that level, as
I expect they will, then they should continue
to move higher and test $32.92/share, our price
target from the "cup" portion of the
pattern. On a longer term basis the shares of
'PDE' have completed a larger "cup"
pattern with a measured move to $47.40/share.
I see downside support on the shares of 'PDE'
at $26.96/share, and have set our stops accordingly
at $26.71/share. |
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INDICES |
Dow
Jones Industrial Average (INDU):
Closed @ 10,456.21 Last Signal:
Called lower on September 14th with the close
of 10,544.90 Current
Expectations: I am expecting the Dow Jones
Industrial Average to move lower and test 10,397.29
on a closing basis. |
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S&P
500 (SPX): Closed @ 1,215.66 Last
Signal: Called lower on September 14th with
the close of 1,227.16
Current Expectation: I am expecting
the S&P 500 to move lower and test 1,205.10
on a closing basis. |
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NASDAQ
100 (NDX): Closed @ 1,568.84 Last
Signal: Called lower on September 14th
with the close of 1,589.63
Current Expectations: I am
expecting the NDX move lower and test 1,558.84
on a closing basis. |
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CBOE
Ten Yr Treasury Index (TNX): Closed @
4.301% Last Signal: Called higher
after the close of trading on September 12th at
4.169% Current Expectations:
This index should continue to move higher and
test then 4.419% |
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Stocks
Looking Higher |
CSGS,
HAL, GSIC, EME, RRC, CPK, USLM, SKYW, WST, MYOG,
PZZA, VTS, MO, TNT, EBAY, SGP, ATYT, EP |
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Stocks Looking Lower |
INTC,
CSCO, ORCL, PFE, GLW, AMAT, AMGN, BAC, DNA, JNJ,
AA, SNDK, MXIM, BLS, GM, WB, DD, MDT, KLAC, RRC,
TOL, TER, NSM, ADI, HDI, MRVL |
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Yesterday's
Edition of the Prime Stock Newsletter |
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If you would like to contact us our # is 800-275-6901,
fax # (404)-816-8830 Email address is: enelson@sterlinginvestments.com
Sterling Investment Services may hold positions
in the securities recommended or may be providing
consulting services to the companies mentioned
within this report. |
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