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PRIME
STOCK NEWSLETTER FOR SEPTEMBER 27th, 2005 |
Position
Statement: In our Prime
Recommendation Letter we attempt to identify the
recommendation with the highest probability of
moving higher. We recommend that stop orders
be placed at the time of purchase, and once
the position has moved profitable we recommend
a stop be placed a minimum of $0.25 above the
purchase price and moved higher as the position
moves higher. |
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Today’s Comments: The overall
market finished Monday slightly higher in a
move with moderate strength that saw a good
portion of the sector indices I track move higher.
The strongest sectors on the day were the Gold/Silver,
Oil & Gas, Natural Gas, Commodities, Airlines,
Interactive, Utilities, Semiconductors, Insurance,
High Tech, Pharmaceuticals, and Retailers. There
was weakness in the Banking, Healthcare Providers,
Chemicals, Computers, Cyclicals, Biotech, and
Consumer indices. I have just completed my review
of the charts from yesterday's trading and I
just don't see a major market rally in the works.
The various sector indices either look weak
or to be moving sideways; not to mention that
the individual stocks with the heaviest trading
volume all appear to be weak as well. The
Bottom Line: The overall market should
continue to move lower.
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Sterling Calendar for
September 27th, 2005
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Date: |
Comments: |
9/27 |
Paycheck 'PAYX' reports
earnings after the close. est. $0.28 |
9/27 |
Pepsi Bottling Group 'PBG'
reports earnings before the open. est. $0.78 |
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Recommendation: Sell/Short
Amgen, Inc. 'AMGN' |
Company:
Amgen, Inc. |
Symbol:
'AMGN' |
Closing
Price: $82.05 |
YH:
$86.92 YL: $52.00 |
EPS: $2.19 P/E: 38 |
Forecasted
EPS: $3.19 |
Shares
Outstanding: 1.23 Billion |
Float: N/A |
Market
Cap.: $101 Billion |
Dividend:
$0.00 |
Yield: N/A |
Average
Daily Trading Volume: 10.1 Million |
Price
Targets: $78.68, and then
$70.52
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Upside Stop: $84.23/share |
Options
Rec.: October 80 Puts @ $1.55/contract |
Options
Symbol: YAAVP |
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Company
Description: Amgen, Inc., a biotechnology
company, engages in the discovery, development,
manufacture, and marketing of human therapeutics
based on advances in cellular and molecular biology.
The company markets human therapeutic products
in the areas of nephrology, supportive cancer
care, and inflammatory disease. Its products primarily
include EPOGEN, Aranesp, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, and
ENBREL, which is marketed under a co-promotion
agreement with Wyeth in the United States and
Canada. EPOGEN and Aranesp stimulate the production
of red blood cells to treat anemia. Neulasta and
NEUPOGEN selectively stimulate the production
of neutrophils, a type of white blood cell that
helps the body fight infections. ENBREL blocks
the biologic activity of tumor necrosis factor
(TNF) by inhibiting TNF, a substance induced in
response to inflammatory and immunological responses,
such as rheumatoid arthritis and psoriasis. It
sells its products to healthcare providers, including
clinics, hospitals, and pharmacies primarily in
the United States, Europe, Canada, and Australia.
Amgen was established by Bill Bowes, Franklin
Johnson, Sam Wohlsteadter, and Raymond Baddour
in 1980. The company is headquartered in Thousand
Oaks, California. |
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Our
Analysis: The shares of 'AGMN' are a component
of the Amex Biotech Index 'BTK' which I have rated
as moving lower from its current level. The shares
of Amgen moved sharply lower on heavier than normal
trading volume. This is a bearish trading signal,
additionally the shares of 'AMGN' appear to have
reached their short term trading peak in mid-September
and have been trending lower since. The shares
of 'AGMN' should continue to move lower and test
$78.68/share, a point of downside support established
on August 26th of this year. If the shares of
'AMGN' close below that level, then I expect them
to continue to move lower and test $70.52/share,
the point from which they gapped higher on the
open of trading on July 20th. I see upside resistance
on the shares of 'AMGN' at $84.00/share, and have
set my stops accordingly at $84.23/share. |
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INDICES |
Dow
Jones Industrial Average (INDU):
Closed @ 10,443.63 Last Signal:
Called lower on September 14th with the close
of 10,544.90 Current
Expectations: I am expecting the Dow Jones
Industrial Average to move lower and test 10,397.29
on a closing basis. |
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S&P
500 (SPX): Closed @ 1,215.63 Last
Signal: Called lower on September 14th with
the close of 1,227.16
Current Expectation: I am expecting
the S&P 500 to move lower and test 1,205.10
on a closing basis. |
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NASDAQ
100 (NDX): Closed @ 1,572.86 Last
Signal: Called lower on September 14th
with the close of 1,589.63
Current Expectations: I am
expecting the NDX move lower and test 1,558.84
on a closing basis. |
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CBOE
Ten Yr Treasury Index (TNX): Closed @
4.294% Last Signal: Called higher
after the close of trading on September 12th at
4.169% Current Expectations:
This index should continue to move higher and
test then 4.419% |
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Stocks
Looking Higher |
UNH,
ACL, SUPX, IRM, TU, BRO, FCX, HOLX, AGII, LEH,
AAPL, EBAY, QCOM |
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Stocks Looking Lower |
ORCL,
MSFT, INTC, PFE, AA, XOM, SYMC, BAC, DIS, DNA,
JNJ, AMGN, COP, WAG, KLAC, MXIM, FRE. |
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Yesterday's
Edition of the Prime Stock Newsletter |
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