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PRIME
STOCK NEWSLETTER FOR AUGUST 10th, 2005 |
Position
Statement: In our Prime
Recommendation Letter we attempt to identify the
recommendation with the highest probability of
moving higher. We recommend that stop orders
be placed at the time of purchase, and once
the position has moved profitable we recommend
a stop be placed a minimum of $0.25 above the
purchase price and moved higher as the position
moves higher. |
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Today’s Comments: The overall
market finished Tuesday strongly to the upside
in a broad based move that saw the majority
of the sector indices I track move higher. The
strongest sectors on the day were the Broker/Dealers,
Semiconductors, Healthcare, Utilities, Pharmaceuticals,
Retailers, Biotech, Healthcare Providers, Interactive,
Computers, High Tech, Telecom, and Consumer
indices; basically everything that had been
dropping the last few days. The weakest sectors
on the day were the Airlines, Natural Gas, and
Commodities; basically what had been moving
higher the last few days. Bonds rallied on the
day, sending interest rates slightly lower.
Yesterday's market activity appeared to be a
round of short covering; where I think the initial
shorting activity may have been sparked by some
concerns that the Fed would raise interest rates
1/2 of a percent due to the strong economy.
The majority of the stocks with the heaviest
volume all still maintain bearish charts, or
to state it simply, I do not think the current
market pullback is over. The Bottom
Line: The market should move lower.
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Sterling Calendar for
August 10th, 2005
|
Date |
Est.
Time |
Release |
For |
Briefing.com |
Consensus |
Prior |
8/10 |
2:00pm |
Treasury
Budget |
Jul |
($58.0b) |
($56.0b) |
($69.2b) |
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Recommendation:
Massey Energy Co. 'MEE' |
Company:
Massey Energy Co. |
Symbol:
'MEE' |
Closing
Price: $46.46 |
YH:
$46.60 YL: $25.17 |
EPS: $1.10 P/E: 42.43 |
Forecasted
EPS: $1.57 |
Shares
Outstanding: 76.7 Million |
Float: 70.1
Million |
Market
Cap.: $3.5 Billion |
Dividend:
$0.20 |
Yield: 0.43% |
Average
Daily Trading Volume: 1.7 Million |
Price
Targets: $49.75 and then $56.35 |
DownsideStop: $45.63/share |
Options
Rec.: August 45 Calls @ $2.15/contract |
Options
Symbol: MEEHI |
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Company
Description: Massey Energy Company engages
in the production, processing, and sale of low
sulfur bituminous coal of steam and metallurgical
grades through its processing and shipping centers
called resource groups. These resource groups
or mining complexes blend, process, and ship coal
that is produced from one or more mines. The company’s
steam coal is primarily purchased by utilities
and industrial clients as fuel for power plants.
Its metallurgical coal is used primarily to make
coke for use in the manufacture of steel. The
company also operates material handling facilities
and a synfuel production plant. This plant converts
coal products to synthetic fuel. Its customer
base includes various electric utilities, steel
manufacturers, industrial customers, and energy
traders and brokers. As of December 31, 2004,
Massey Energy operated 34 underground mines and
15 surface mines in West Virginia, Kentucky, and
Virginia. In addition, the company holds interests
in operations that produce, gather, and market
natural gas from shallow reservoirs in the Appalachian
Basin. As of the above date, it owned and operated
approximately 156 wells, 184 miles of gathering
line, and various small compression facilities
in Appalachian Basin. Massey Energy distributes
its products through freight and terminal agreements
with various providers, including railroads, barge
lines, steamship lines, bulk motor carriers and
terminal facilities. The company was incorporated
in 1920 as A.T. Massey Coal Company, Inc. and
renamed as Massey Energy Company in 2000. Massey
Energy is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia. |
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Our
Analysis: The shares of Massey Energy Co.
'MEE' set a new closing high on heavier than normal
trading volume yesterday. This is a very bullish
trading signal. In the process the shares of 'MEE'
completed a short term "cup pattern"
with a measured move to $56.35/share, our upper
price target. In the meantime the shares of 'MEE'
should continue to move higher and test $49.75/share,
our price target from a long term "cup pattern"
stretching over several years that was established
in early 2004. I see downside support on the shares
of 'MEE' @ $45.90/share, and have set our stops
accordingly at $45.63/share. |
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INDICES |
Dow
Jones Industrial Average (INDU):
Closed @ 10,615.67 Last Signal:
Called Lower on August 5th with the previous day's
close of 10,0610.10
Current Expectations: I am expecting the Dow
Jones Industrial Average to pullback over the
short term and move lower and test 10,432.51 |
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S&P
500 (SPX): Closed @ 1,231.38 Last
Signal: Called Lower on August 5th with the
previous day's close of 1,235.86 Current Expectation:
I am expecting the S&P 500 to to pullback
over the short term and test 1,216.96 |
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NASDAQ
100 (NDX): Closed @ 1,601.14 Last
Signal: Called Lower on August 5th with
the previous day's close of 1,608.74 Current
Expectations: I am expecting the NDX to pullback
over the short term and test 1,568.96 |
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CBOE
Ten Yr Treasury Index (TNX): Closed @
4.394% Last Signal: Called Higher
on August 1st with a close of 4.319% Current
Expectations: The TNX should move higher
and test 4.491% on a closing basis. |
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Stocks
Looking Higher |
BCE,
AMTD, ENER, BAP, SSL, ISRG, IVAC, RS, LUX, STFC,
STR, TNT, GR, CRM, COF, SGP, ACI, MCK, USG, PFG,
GRP, EME, TWX, TYC, BIIB, GE, TXN, AAPL, MCD,
CY, GS, BA, AIG |
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Stocks Looking Lower |
DAL,
BBI, L, AMGN, EBAY, BAC, QCOM, TLWT, PG, CNO,
NTAP, ADCT, WMB, JCP, RHAT, BR, OXY |
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Yesterday's
Edition of the Prime Stock Newsletter |
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