|
PRIME
STOCK NEWSLETTER FOR NOVEMBER 2nd, 2005 |
Position
Statement: In our Prime
Recommendation Letter we attempt to identify the
recommendation with the highest probability of
moving higher. We recommend that stop orders
be placed at the time of purchase, and once
the position has moved profitable we recommend
a stop be placed a minimum of $0.25 above the
purchase price and moved higher as the position
moves higher. |
|
Today’s Comments: The overall
market finished Tuesday slightly lower in what
hopefully was nothing more than a round of profit
taking a strong move higher over the course
of the previous few days. The weakest sectors
on the day were the Utilities, Gold/Silver,
Semiconductors, Pharmaceuticals, Airlines, Consumer,
Computers, Banking, Healthcare Providers, Oil
& Gas, Telecom, Retailers, and Biotech indices.
There was strength Interactives, Insurance,
Internet, Technology, Cyclicals, and Broker/Dealer
indices. The overall trend of the market remains
positive and I'm continuing to expect the overall
market as measured by the indices discussed
below to move towards their upper target levels.
The Bottom Line: The overall
market should move higher.
|
|
Sterling Calendar for
November 2nd, 2005
|
Date |
Est.
Time |
Release |
For |
Briefing.com |
Consensus |
Prior |
11/02 |
10:30am |
Crude Inventories |
10/28 |
|
|
4,414k |
Date: |
Comments: |
Nov. 02 |
BMC Software
'BMC' announces earnings after the close.
Est. $0.23 |
Nov. 02 |
Devon Energy
'DVN' announces earnings before the open.
Est. $1.78 |
Nov. 02 |
Qualcomm 'QCOM'
announces earnings at 4:00pm. Est. $0.33 |
The
full earnings calendar for this week can
be found (here) |
|
|
Recommendation:
Alcoa, Inc. 'AA' |
Company:
Alcoa, Inc. |
Symbol:
'AA' |
Closing
Price: $24.60 |
Web
http://www.alcoa.com |
YH:
$34.99 YL: $22.28 |
EPS:
$1.45 P/E: 17 |
Shares
Outstanding: Million |
Forecasted
EPS: $1.81 |
Market
Cap.: $21 Billion |
Dividend:
$0.00 |
Yield:
N/A |
Aver.
Daily Trading Volume: 5.9 Million
Shares |
Price
Targets: $25.90 and then $29.67 |
Downside Stop: $24.04/share |
Options
Rec.: November 25 Calls @ $0.35/contract |
Options
Symbol: AAKE |
Company
Description: Alcoa, Inc. produces
primary aluminum, fabricated aluminum,
and alumina. It also markets consumer
brands to its customers. The company offers
flat rolled products, including sheet
and plate, foil products, and can reclamation
products; engineered products that include
aerospace products, auto components, architectural
extrusions, castings, extrusion, tube,
and fasteners; and packaging and consumer
products, which include consumer products,
flexible packaging products, closures,
machinery, graphics, food service packaging,
protective packaging, polymerization,
and extrusion. The company’s other
products include telecommunications, auto
engineering, and home exteriors. In addition,
Alcoa offers nonaluminum products, including
precision castings, industrial fasteners,
vinyl siding, consumer products, food
service and flexible packaging products,
plastic closures, and electrical distribution
systems for cars and trucks. Its products
are used in aircraft, automobiles, commercial
transportation, packaging, consumer products,
building and construction, and industrial
applications. Alcoa has operations in
Asia, Australia, Europe, South America,
and the United States. The company was
formed in 1888 and is based in Pittsburgh,
Pennsylvania. |
|
Our
Analysis: The shares of Alcoa, Inc.
'AA' have been moving higher since mid
October when they set a new yearly low.
Yesterday they closed above a key upside
resistance level. This is a bullish trading
signal. The shares are also a component
of the Dow Jones Industrial Average which
I have rated as moving higher from its
current levels. The shares of 'AA' should
continue to move higher and test $25.90/share,
the point from which they gapped lower
on the open of trading on September 23rd.
If the shares of 'AA' close above that
level, then they should continue to move
higher and test $29.67/share, a point
of upside resistance established on August
11th. I see downside support on the shares
of 'AA' @ $24.45/share, and have set my
stops accordingly @ $24.04/share. |
|
|
INDICES |
Dow
Jones Industrial Average (INDU):
Closed @ 10,406.77 Last Signal:
None. Current Expectations:
I am expecting the Dow Jones Industrial Average
to move higher and test 10,441.11 and then 10,546.35
on a closing basis. |
|
S&P
500 (SPX): Closed @ 1,202.76 Last
Signal: none
Current Expectation: I am expecting the S&P
500 to move higher and test
1,210.20 on a closing basis. |
|
NASDAQ
100 (NDX): Closed @ 1,576.52 Last
Signal: none
Current Expectations: I am
expecting the NDX move higher and test 1,605.59
on a closing basis. |
|
CBOE
Ten Yr Treasury Index (TNX): Closed @
4.577% Last Signal: Called Higher
after the close of trading on October 25th at
4.508% Current Expectations:
This index made a very quick trend reversal and
should continue to move higher and test then 4.624% |
|
Stocks
Looking Higher |
DST,
AXA, RHAT, ATAC, FCX, EDS, IRM, BNI, TEX, TEVA,
MTN, LTR, HAE, SKYW, UNH, PAYX, SAFC, FLO, AMX,
AET, FAST, GES, STA, MSFT, YHOO, SYMC, JPM, MOT,
S, DIS, UNH, AIG, MAS, SNDK, AMT, COP, SPLS, AA,
HON, DNA, XTO, ALL, GS, ET, X |
|
Stocks Looking Lower |
GM,
BAX, DELL, INTC, TYC, AMAT, SGP, CD, TTWO, CVS,
XMSR, ABX, MGM, MDT, SNM, WYE, CCU, SYY, SLE,
LLTC, GR, MMM, KMB |
|
Yesterday's
Edition of the Prime Stock Newsletter |
The
Sterling Investment series of newsletters is produced
by Sterling Investment Services, Inc. If
you would like to receive a chart on any index
or stock mentioned in this report please contact
us at the below mentioned numbers. We also
offer custom research reports on any stock investment
that you may desire information on. To receive
further information on these services please visit
our web page at: www.sterlinginvestments.com
If you would like to contact us our # is 800-275-6901,
fax # (404)-816-8830 Email address is: enelson@sterlinginvestments.com
Sterling Investment Services may hold positions
in the securities recommended or may be providing
consulting services to the companies mentioned
within this report. |
Copyright
1992-2005 Sterling Investment Services, Inc.
P.O. Box 191767, Atlanta, GA. 31119-1767
Fax 404-816-8830
404-816-8240 |
|
|
Providing
Investment Banking Consulting Services to Public
Companies |
|