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PRIME STOCK NEWSLETTER FOR OCTOBER 13th, 2005
Position Statement: In our Prime Recommendation Letter we attempt to identify the recommendation with the highest probability of moving higher.  We recommend that stop orders be placed at the time of purchase,  and once the position has moved profitable we recommend a stop be placed a minimum of $0.25 above the purchase price and moved higher as the position moves higher.

Today’s Comments: The overall market finished Wednesday moderately lower in a broad based move that saw almost every sector index I track move lower. The weakest sectors on the day were the Gold/Silver, Broker/Dealer, Oil & Gas, Natural Gas, Biotech, Interactive, Utilities, Commodities, Internet, Retailers, Telecom, Technology, Cyclicals, High Tech, Computers, Airlines, Banking, Semiconductors, Insurance, and Consumer indices. There was strength in the Healthcare and Chemical indices. The bond market was lower on the day as interest rates moved higher. The various sector indices continue to be weak, and the number of stocks hitting new 12 month highs was among the smallest I can remember. Once again, the vast majority of the heavy volume stocks continue to look weak. However, many of the stocks I looked at are starting to enter areas of support or are starting look oversold. This could be an indication that the recent decline in the market may come to an end sometime in the near future; I just don't think it will be today. The Bottom Line: The overall market should move lower.


Sterling Calendar for October 13th, 2005

Date Est. Time Release For

Briefing.com

Consensus Prior
10/13 8:30am Export Prices-ex ag. Sep N/A N/A (0.1%)
10/13 8:30am Import Prices-ex. oil Sep N/A N/A 0.0%
10/13 8:30am Trade Balances Aug ($59.0B) ($59.3B) ($57.9)
10/13 8:30am Initial Claims 10/08 350K N/A 390K
10/13 2:00pm Treasury Budget Sep $36.0B $37.0B $24.6B
Date: Comments:
Oct. 13 Fairchild Semiconductor 'FCS' reports earnings before the open. Est. ($0.01)
Oct. 13 Tribune 'TRB' reports earnings before the open. Est. $0.48
Oct. 13 Winnebago 'WGO' reports earnings before the open. Est. $0.42

Recommendation: Sell/Short

Caterpillar, Inc. 'CAT'

Company: Caterpillar, Inc. Symbol: 'CAT' Closing Price: $54.74
Web Site: http://www.cat.com YH: $59.88 YL: $38.38 Forecasted EPS: $4.83
Shares Outstanding: 676 Million EPS: $3.39 P/E: 16 Market Cap.: $37 Billion
Dividend: $1.00 Yield: 1.8% Average Daily Trading Volume: 4.4 Million Shares
Price Targets:  $53.78, and then $50.82 Upside Stop:  $55.66/share
Options Rec.: October $55 Puts @ $1.65/contract Options Symbol: CATVK
Company Description: Caterpillar, Inc. manufactures construction and mining equipment; diesel and natural gas engines; and industrial gas turbines. It operates its business in Machinery, Engines, and Financial Products lines. Machinery line involves in the design, manufacture, marketing, and sale of construction, mining, and forestry machinery, such as track and wheel tractors, track and wheel loaders, pipelayers, motor graders, wheel tractor-scrapers, track and wheel excavators, backhoe loaders, log skidders, log loaders, off-highway trucks, articulated trucks, paving products, telescopic handlers, skid steer loaders, and related parts. It also offers logistics services for other companies. Engines line offers engines for the company’s machinery; electric power generation systems; on-highway vehicles and locomotives; marine, petroleum, construction, industrial, agricultural, and other applications; and related parts. Financial Products line provides a range of retail financing alternatives to customers and dealers for Caterpillar machinery and engines, solar gas turbines, as well as other equipment and marine vessels. The company also offers various forms of insurance to customers and dealers to help support the purchase and lease of equipment, as well as invests in independent power projects using Caterpillar power generation equipment and services. It markets its products through various distribution centers and dealers in the United States and worldwide. The company was formed as Caterpillar Tractor Co. in 1925 and changed its name to Caterpillar, Inc. in 1986. Caterpillar, Inc. is headquartered in Peoria, Illinois.
Recent News:
  10/10 Caterpillar Opening S.C. Plant TheStreet.com (Mon, Oct 10)
Our Analysis: The shares of Caterpillar, Inc. 'CAT' are a component of the Dow Jones Industrial Average which I have rated as moving lower from its current levels. The shares of 'CAT' closed below a key support level on heavier than normal trading volume. The shares of 'CAT' should continue to move lower and test $53.78/share, the point from which they gapped higher on the open of trading on August 31st of this year. If the shares of 'CAT' close below that level then they should continue to move lower and test $50.82/share, the point from which they gapped higher on the open of trading on July 19th of this year. I see upside resistance on the shares of 'CAT' at $55.19/share, and have set our stops accordingly at $55.66/share.

INDICES
Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU): Closed @ 10,216.91 Last Signal: Called lower on October 5th with the previous day's close of 10,441.11 Current Expectations: I am expecting the Dow Jones Industrial Average to move lower and test 10,140.12 on a closing basis.

S&P 500 (SPX): Closed @ 1,177.68 Last Signal: Called lower on October 5th with the previous day's close of 1,214.47 Current Expectation: I am expecting the S&P 500 to move lower and test 1,173.80 and then 1,154.05 on a closing basis.

NASDAQ 100 (NDX): Closed @ 1,521.19 Last Signal: Called lower on October 5th with the previous day's close of 1,595.54 Current Expectations: I am expecting the NDX move lower and test 1,490.53 on a closing basis.

CBOE Ten Yr Treasury Index (TNX): Closed @ 4.441% Last Signal: Called higher after the close of trading on September 12th at 4.169% Current Expectations: This index should continue to move higher and test then 4.491%

Stocks Looking Higher

FAST, ADST, LSCO, MSSR, INGR, CSCO, MDT, HDI, JCP


Stocks Looking Lower
AAPL, INTC, MSFT, AMD, MOT, SNDK, QCOM, C, CVS, DIS, AMGN, GOOG, JNPR, VLO, WM, AMX, AXP, BBY, GS, MO, MWD, CFC, TOL, CCL, ADBE, UNH, COF, MRVL, ABS, MER, LEH, RIG, AMT, OSIP, MMM, A, FD

Yesterday's Edition of the Prime Stock Newsletter
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